---
title: UN Update on Countries’ Climate Targets Shows Emissions Peaking, but Fall Short of Paris Goals
date: 2025-11-10T20:10:45Z
modified: 2025-11-10T20:34:45Z
permalink: "https://350.org/press-release/un-update-on-countries-climate-targets-shows-emissions-peaking-but-fall-short-of-paris-goals/"
type: press-release
status: publish
excerpt: ""
wpid: 175527661
author: rachelbrabbins
---

**Belém, Brazil –** On the first day of COP30, the UN climate secretariat (UNFCCC) has released an [update](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1CtJVy2DSjDWUVNK2RqKXmgSCsphEnA32/view?usp=sharing) to its _2025 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) Synthesis Report_, showing that global emissions are finally beginning to peak, but still fall far short of what’s needed to limit global temperature rise to 1.5°C.

A total of 113 Parties to the Paris Agreement have now submitted new or updated climate plans (NDCs) between January 2024 and November 2025. Together, these countries represent about 69% of global greenhouse gas emissions in 2019.

_“Global emissions are finally nearing their peak, a long-awaited turning point, but we are still moving far too slowly. Current plans will only cut emissions by about 12% by 2035, when we need five times that to keep global temperature rise to 1.5°C. This is the moment to act – every second of delay locks in more climate damage. COP30 must treat these pledges as the ceiling, not the floor, and respond with a plan to bridge this perilous shortfall through a rapid, equitable transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy,”_ said Andreas Sieber, Associate Director of Policy and Campaigns, 350.org

**Key Findings:**

- With all the latest NDCs included, global emissions are projected to be around 12% lower by 2035 compared to 2019 levels.
- This marks a turning point: emissions are no longer rising and are beginning to level off – a key signal that global emissions may have peaked.
- However, to stay on track for the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C temperature limit, emissions would need to fall by around 60% by 2035.

With emissions projected to fall by 12%, a decline in fossil fuel demand is expected. This underscores the need for a planned and orderly transition to prevent stranded assets and minimize social fallout. We need a fast, fair, and funded phase-out of fossil fuels to renewable energy to close the gap between the current country pledges and what’s needed to prevent the worst impacts of climate change.

**Notes to Editors**

[Updated UNFCCC Synthesis Report PDF](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1CtJVy2DSjDWUVNK2RqKXmgSCsphEnA32/view?usp=sharing)

Original [UNFCCC NDC Synthesis Report 2025](https://unfccc.int/documents/650664) released on 28th October 2025

**Media Contact:**

Rachel Brabbins | <rachel.brabbins@350.org> | +55 21 98299 8251